Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.454768 0.519435 0.589045 0.669425 0.759559 0.857387 0.971474
2025-06-15 0.356527 0.444974 0.547777 0.675585 0.829671 1.008867 1.232432
2025-06-22 0.275840 0.374421 0.497559 0.661460 0.872522 1.133652 1.479458
2025-06-29 0.223401 0.328073 0.467864 0.665934 0.936638 1.290542 1.784473
2025-07-06 0.176536 0.279768 0.426773 0.647763 0.967063 1.406293 2.049411
2025-07-13 0.151595 0.257455 0.417175 0.670266 1.054273 1.606415 2.448945
2025-07-20 0.132148 0.239526 0.410518 0.694971 1.146273 1.821671 2.891161
2025-07-27 0.113149 0.218508 0.395263 0.703297 1.213110 2.005256 3.303598
2025-08-03 0.096404 0.197994 0.377207 0.703697 1.266082 2.171206 3.703070
2025-08-10 0.082272 0.179373 0.359164 0.700873 1.312137 2.328934 4.101997
2025-08-17 0.071046 0.164055 0.344412 0.701203 1.362461 2.496731 4.530063
2025-08-24 0.062237 0.151844 0.333409 0.706414 1.421018 2.682267 5.001680
2025-08-31 0.053268 0.137671 0.316687 0.699062 1.456877 2.833737 5.431910
2025-09-07 0.047719 0.130038 0.312068 0.714830 1.537734 3.072038 6.034361
2025-09-14 0.040981 0.118156 0.296500 0.705963 1.569506 3.223253 6.492316
2025-09-21 0.036474 0.110814 0.289730 0.714631 1.636904 3.446309 7.099580
2025-09-28 0.031009 0.099710 0.272444 0.697749 1.649515 3.564944 7.519121
2025-10-05 0.028689 0.096695 0.273952 0.723468 1.754672 3.873107 8.325175
2025-10-12 0.026682 0.094136 0.276168 0.751039 1.866457 4.203039 9.197119
2025-10-19 0.024053 0.089100 0.271219 0.760693 1.939219 4.458719 9.938944
2025-10-26 0.021381 0.083270 0.263189 0.761592 1.991941 4.676455 10.618779
2025-11-02 0.018911 0.077468 0.254236 0.758862 2.035703 4.878181 11.279155
2025-11-09 0.016859 0.072554 0.246942 0.759412 2.087126 5.100015 11.996343